SG Wealth Builder

Sign up for only $19.99! It seems that StarHub share price had lost its way. The fierce telco war has walloped this counter left, right and centre. Since my last coverage on this counter, StarHub share price bottomed out to reach a low of $1.30 in October 2019. Subsequently, the stock went on a fine run to hit a high of $1.55 on 27 February 2020. However, the COVID-19 pandemic came along and sent Starhub share price plunging into the abyss yet again.

StarHub share price crashed into wall

StarHub share price in last tango?

StarHub share price to face $282 million baptism of fire

Indeed, investing in StarHub is no fun. This counter used to be the brightest star among the SGX stocks with its strong dividend track record and rising share price. As a matter of fact, StarHub share price was still trading at the $4.00 bandwidth in 2015. No one could have predicted that the entry of TPG Telecom in 2016 could change the destiny of StarHub so much.

In my point of view, StarHub share price is slightly undervalued at the moment. Assuming the full-year net profit is $160 million, the EPS should be $0.09. With a PE ratio of 16, the fair value of StarHub is estimated to be $1.44.

Sign up for only $19.99! The recent explosive bull run of AEM share price had led to a flurry of target price upgrades by various analysts. The surging form of AEM share price was attributed to the stellar first quarter business results that saw the company hitting a record revenue of $146.8 million and net profit of $36.1 million.

Indeed, the rate of ascend of AEM share price is so breath-taking that investors must be pinching themselves to check it is for real. Is this form even sustainable against the backdrop of COVID-19 pandemic and rising tension between US and China? Will the unfolding trade war between US and China throws a spanner in the works for AEM share price?

To be sure, the recent US rule to ban Huawei Technologies’ access to non-US chipmakers will have some impact on AEM share price. But make no mistake, this is actually the second phase of the trade war concerning export control on Huawei.

AEM share price to hit $50 on NASDAQ listing?

AEM share price in explosive bull run!

In May 2019, US banned US chipmakers from selling equipment to Huawei. Intel was one of the companies hit by that move. Huawei, being the world’s largest telecommunication equipment company, reportedly spent a whopping USD11 billion on Intel, Qualcomm and Micron Technology.

Sign up for only $19.99! Our national carrier is in trouble. The devastating COVID-19 pandemic had decapacitated its fleets, resulting in SIA recording a full-year net loss of $212 million. This is the first ever full-year financial loss in the course of the carrier’s 48 years of operating history. Against this backdrop, all hell break loose for SIA share price. The announcement of the financial result also coincided with the recent mega rights exercise. These factors combined to cause SIA share price to roil to no end.

SIA share price in darkest chapter

SIA share price faces brutal meltdown

SIA share price to rock or melt with Special Share?

SIA share price crashed into wall

SIA share price nearing 20-year low

SIA share price in crisis mode

In my humble opinion, the trouble for SIA share price is not in the rights issue itself but rather the pricing of the rights. At $3.00, the rights represented a massive discount of 53.8% to the last traded SIA share price of $6.50 on 25 March 2020. Evidently, the rationale for such massive discount is to make the rights issue as appealing as possible to retail investors. But in doing so, many retail investors must be riled as many of them might have entered this counter at around $9 to $10.

Sign up for only $19.99! Will AEM become another legendary fairy-tale in SGX? Amid the bearish market outlook caused by the devastating COVID-19 outbreak, AEM share price defied gravity to smash a record high of $3.37 on 11 May 2020. To illustrate how powerful the rally is: AEM share price stormed from $1.37 on 19 March 2020 to a crazy high of $3.37. This means that AEM share price soared nearly 250% within the span of two months!

In life, what goes up must surely comes down. After reaching the giddy height of $3.37, AEM share price subsequently pulled back to reach the $3.10 price level. Such correction is healthy and should not be seen as beginning of the end for AEM share price. What ignited the surging bull run was largely due to the solid first quarter business results that saw the company hitting a record revenue of $146.8 million and net profit of $36.1 million. Will AEM share price continue its magical run in the face of the market downturn?

AEM share price in explosive bull run!

The stunning rise of Micro-Mechanics

Venture Corporation share price went ballistic!

Creative Technology in sanity intervals

Beyond the stellar financial results, a potential major catalyst may propel AEM share price to the next stage.

Sign up for only $19.99! Sometimes, reality defies logic. By right, bank stocks should have crashed with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and the unfolding oil crisis. But DBS, OCBC and UOB share price had been quite resilient amid the unprecedented economic challenges. Bank counters had not collapsed like what they did during the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Perhaps the massive stimulus packages by US Federal Reserves had helped to restore market confidence. Where will UOB share price go from here?

In terms of first quarter financial results, UOB lost out to DBS but managed to beat OCBC comprehensively. Net earnings amounted to $855 million, a decline of 19% as compared to Q1FY2019. Overall, UOB’s decline was much better than DBS (-29%) and OCBC (-43%). Despite so, the outlook for UOB share price looks pretty grim as the bank navigates through the storm.

UOB share price exploded with Hin Leong

UOB share price hammered by coronavirus

UOB share price in royal rumble with DBS and OCBC

UOB share price fought back after bizarre plunge

Total income for UOB remained stable at $2.41 billion even though interest rates had plummeted to abysmal levels. Non-performing loan ratio also remained stable at 1.6%.

Sign up for only $19.99! Will OCBC share price sink or swim? On 8 May 2020, OCBC announced a set of poor Q1 FY2020 business update that saw the number 2 bank in Singapore recording the worst financial performance among the three local banks. While COVID-19 pandemic had been cited by OCBC CEO as the culprit for the subpar performance, investors must be wondering how on earth did OCBC manage to fare so badly against the other two banks.

OCBC share price in explosive free fall

OCBC share price in devastating bloodbath

OCBC share price to increase three-fold in decade?

OCBC share price led to my first investment in decade

On a year-on-year basis, net profit plunged 43% to reach an abysmal $698 million. This is the lowest as compared to DBS ($1.17 billion) and UOB ($855 million). OCBC’s decline was also the biggest among the three local banks. Against this backdrop, OCBC share price should be sluggish for the foreseeable future.

Upon examining the business update, I noted two factors that led to the steep decline in net profit. First, contributions from Great Eastern Holdings collapsed 94% to reach a low of $18 million, vis-à-vis the $290 million profit contribution seen in Q1FY2019.

Sign up for only $19.99! Is the sky the limit for AEM share price? Amid the COVID-19 outbreak, the technology sector is going through an up-cycle due to surging demand for electronic products as many people are forced to work from home. AEM share price is one of the beneficiaries of the sector rally and is currently enjoying a superb bull run.

Through the years, I had covered a number of SGX-listed technology companies in this blog. So far, I had been hesitant to cover AEM share price because of my lack of understanding of the semiconductor industry. This industry is notorious for having an extremely short lifespan and trying to analyse companies operating in this segment on a long-term basis is always challenging. In this article, I will share my views on whether the red-hot form of AEM share price is sustainable.

The stunning rise of Micro-Mechanics

Venture Corporation share price went ballistic!

Creative Technology in sanity intervals

As a matter of fact, AEM share price is now trading at record high of $2.60. This counter used to trade at the $6.00 bandwidth. Following the bonus issue of three-for-one shares exercise in March 2018, AEM share price fell off the cliff.

Sign up for only $19.99! Is this the beginning of the end for Singapore banks? The circuit-breaker implemented by Singapore government had caused the economy to come to a grinding halt. On 30 April 2020, DBS Bank announced business update for 1^st quarter (SGX had scrapped mandatory quarterly reporting). Being the leading light of SGX, the financial performance of DBS Bank is often scrutinized. This is especially so in current climate as investors are looking for clues on the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the banking sector.

DBS Group Holdings share price in bloodbath with Hin Leong

DBS Group Holdings share in explosive meltdown

DBS Group share price in dark chapter with virus

DBS Group Holdings share price ambushed by coronavirus?

Initial assessment of the financial performance of DBS Bank is that the results are not as grim as many investors had feared. Total income grew 13% from a year ago to a new high of $4.03 billion but net profit had collapsed 29% to $1.17 billion. The lower profit was due to increased allowances of $0.7 billion to cater for risks due to the pandemic.

Of course, it is still early days to claim that DBS Bank is out of the woods but the financial performance was resilient in light of the unprecedented damage to the economy.

Sign up for only $19.99! In March 2020, DBS announced a staggering pay check of $12.1 million to CEO Piyush Gupta for leading the bank to the Promised Land – DBS’ total income had more than doubled, net profit has tripled, and market capitalisation had nearly doubled in FY2019. However, almost half of his annual salary was in the form of the company’s share plan. Thus, the upheaval of DBS Group Holdings share price in recent months must have left a bitter taste in CEO Piyush Gupta’s mouth.

DBS Group Holdings share in explosive meltdown

DBS Group share price in dark chapter with virus

DBS Group Holdings share price ambushed by coronavirus?

Previously, the supreme form of DBS Group Holdings share price was largely due its strong financial results, which was fuelled by its aggressive loan growth strategy. With $362 billion gross loans, DBS is the largest lender in Singapore. In comparison, UOB holds $269 billion while OCBC holds $264 billion of loans.

For sure, CEO Piyush likes to put his money where his mouth is. In 2016, he bought $2.8 million of DBS shares at the peak of the oil crisis. At that point of time, he was confident that DBS Group Holdings share price was undervalued.

Sign up for only $19.99! Troubles certainly come in troops for UOB share price. Amid the devastating fallout from COVID-19, UOB share price slipped following news that DBS, OCBC and UOB were faced with $870 million loan exposure to embattled home-grown oil trader, Hin Leong.

UOB share price hammered by coronavirus

UOB share price in royal rumble with DBS and OCBC

UOB share price fought back after bizarre plunge

The fall of Hin Leong cannot be underestimated as it is one of the largest marine fuel suppliers in Singapore. It also came at a time when global crude oil was trading at negative prices due to oversupply issue and price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. Oil crisis is certainly not a new risk for local banks. In the 2014’s oil crisis, UOB share price got hammered as well, falling from $24 in May 2015 to the abysmal low of $17 in February 2016. But this time round, things may not be so straightforward for UOB share price.

To be honest, I have never seen such great chaos in my life. The pandemic crisis had effectively brought global economy to a complete standstill. And now with this oil crisis unfolding, the road to economic recovery will surely be long and arduous.

Sign up for only $19.99! COVID-19 has ravaged the entire global financial markets and upended numerous industries. To tackle the massive fallouts, US Federal Reserve pull out all stops to contain the explosive impacts of this unprecedented black swan event in modern days.  Arising from this interest rates has plummeted to abysmal levels yet again, leading to “cash is trash”. Against such backdrop, the interest rate of SGX Securities Borrowing and Lending (SBL) program could be lucrative.

How does SGX Securities Borrowing and Lending (SBL) work? In Singapore, investors can either lend their existing shares to brokerage firms or SGX. By lending out shares, they can earn interest fees. Conversely, investors can also borrow shares to do short-selling. In the course of doing so, you need to pay borrowing fees.

In this article, I will provide my insights on the pros and cons of lending shares to SGX Securities Borrowing and Lending (SBL) program. Something that needs to be highlighted is that this article will touch on only the lending program of SBL. As I am not into short-selling activities, the borrowing facility of the SBL is not covered in this article.

Disclaimer for this article: SGX did not pay me to write this article nor am I promoting SGX Securities Borrowing and Lending program.

Sign up for only $19.99! It is a battle that SIA cannot afford to lose. Currently, SIA share price is fighting for its life as COVID-19 completely razed air travel to the ground. With numerous airlines expected to file for bankruptcies in the coming months, many analysts claim that the aviation sector may never recover to the pre-crisis level. This is indeed the darkest chapter for SIA share price.

SIA share price faces brutal meltdown

SIA share price to rock or melt with Special Share?

SIA share price crashed into wall

SIA share price nearing 20-year low

SIA share price in crisis mode

For sure, the coming announcement of the full-year financial result and the mega rights issue will be a massive baptism of fire for SIA share price. Indeed, the next two weeks will be critical as the national carrier navigates through this crazy storm. In view of this, expect plenty of volatility for SIA share price.

The current crisis completely dwarfed previous crises such as the Asian Financial Crisis of 1998, the dotcom bust in 2000, 9/11 terrorist attacks of 2001, the SARS of 2003 and Great Financial Crisis of 2008. In each of those crises, SIA share price had always managed to bounce back in impressive form.

Sign up for only $19.99! What a roller coaster ride for investors! COVID-19 pandemic crisis had ignited one of the biggest equity sell-offs in modern history as investors fled for their lives. The Straits Times Index (STI) plunged by a terrifying 17% to reach the abysmal level of 2,208, a level last seen in June 2009. Being one of the leading lights of STI, OCBC share price was not spared from the carnage.

OCBC share price in devastating bloodbath

OCBC share price to increase three-fold in decade?

OCBC share price led to my first investment in decade

But what made this crisis so extra-ordinary is that it coincided with the oil slump. It is reported that OCBC, DBS and UOB collectively faced with loan exposure of $600 million to embattled oil trader, Hin Leong Trading. As a result, OCBC share price took a beating in recent days. As the double whammy crises unfold, expect plenty of volatility for OCBC share price.

Since 23 March 2020, OCBC share price had recovered from a low of $7.80 to reach the current $8.80 level. The recovery was due to improved market sentiments following the massive US’ two trillion dollar stimulus package. Nevertheless, I am hesitant to claim that OCBC share price has reached a bottom.

Note: This article has been edited to incorporate clarifications from KIT.

Sign up for only $19.99! Will Singapore’s largest infrastructure business trust, Keppel Infrastructure Trust (KIT share price), be the last man standing? Amid the violent upheaval in the stock market, it seems that KIT share price will fight to the very end.

On 10 March 2020, I wrote that KIT share price would be stung by the collapse of the oil price. Indeed, the following day, KIT share price collapsed from $0.51 to reach a crazy low of $0.36 on 19 March 2020. The meltdown prompted the management to conduct shares buyback to halt the collapse of KIT share price. By 3 April 2020, 4.75 million of KIT shares had been repurchased.

KIT share price safe haven from virus?

KIT share price to suffer same fate as Hyflux?

Previously, I have pointed out that KIT share price has a strong correlation with oil price because it owns one power-plant, Keppel Merlimau Cogen (KMC) Plant, which has been making huge losses since the start of the oil slump in 2014. For full-year 2019, losses before tax for KMC amounted to $40 million, an increase from $33.6 million in last year.

KIT management has clarified that oil price fluctuations has no bearing on the performance of the Keppel Merlimau Cogen (KMC) plant.

The unfolding COVID-19 has claimed the first S-Reit casualty in Eagle Hospitality Trust. Which will be the next one? In view of the plunging Lippo Malls share price over the course of last month, investors must be living in fear. Looking back, Lippo Malls share price was actually cruising along finely in 2019 with the strengthening of Indonesian rupiah until COVID-19 came along to mess things up.

Year-to-date, Lippo Malls share price plummeted by a whopping 52%, making it one of the worst SGX stocks to own. Apart from COVID-19, what could be the other dark forces behind the meltdown of Lippo Malls share price? In my view, besides macro factors, it is also important to pay attention to the business fundamentals because that will shape Lippo Malls share price even in the midst of market chaos.

Temasek Holdings lost its pants in Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust?

Lippo Malls Indonesia Retail Trust in dark chapter

Nightmare of Lippo Malls Retail Trust

With effect from 1 April 2020, all of LMIR Trust’s portfolio of 23 retail malls and seven retail spaces will be temporarily closed except for essential services. The period of closure will be for a minimum of two weeks till 14 April 2020.

It seems that hell has a special place for SIAEC share price. The coronavirus outbreak imploded out of nowhere to cause the entire aviation industry to come to a grinding halt, leading global airlines to ground their fleets. The latest government order to close down workplaces (except for essential services) in Singapore will further roil SIAEC share price to no end.

SIAEC share price and ST Engineering in bizarre tale

SIAEC share price in bloodbath with Temasek Holdings

Year-to-date, SIAEC share price plunged by a staggering 44%. This made SIAEC share price one of the biggest falling stars among the SGX shares. Against this backdrop, investors must be having plenty of sleepless nights and wonder if SIAEC share price will recover from this nightmarish run. The coming full-year financial result will be a litmus test for SIAEC share price as the MRO stalwart navigates through this dark chapter of aviation.

The grounding of aircraft among global airlines will hurt SIAEC’s MRO business and dented SIAEC share price. From a technical point of view, when an aircraft is grounded, a large portion of the maintenance works which are based on interval of flight hours or flight cycles need not be carried out.

Crisis? What crisis? SGX share price laughed off talks of impending recession as it turned bullish amid the ongoing virus outbreak. Traditionally, SGX share price is not a safe haven against crises but volatility in the stock market is good for stock market operators like SGX because of the increased in revenue from clearing fees.

In fact, if you purchased 1000 shares of SGX shares in November 2000 and held it till now, the returns would be an incredible 588% based on current SGX share price of $9.22. I don’t know which stock that had generated so much returns for investors and is not affected by the current coronavirus.

Even more bizarrely, SGX share price actually benefitted from the ongoing crisis as market turnover for equities and exchange-traded funds jumped 44% and 245% respectively in February. The market volatility also saw increased interest in daily leverage certificates and structured warrants. The number of monthly active participants climbed 55% year-on-year, while the outstanding value of leveraged products held surged three-fold.

SGX share price in sparkling form after reporting highest profit in 11 years

Bonds to the rescue for SGX share price

Indeed, coronavirus had destroyed thousands of lives and upended various industries.

Is the worst over for SIA share price? In all honesty, I don’t know. At this point of writing, the number of people infected by COVID-19 stood at 784,000 and number of deaths amounted to 38,000. The epic USD2 trillion stimulus package by US government had provided some boost to the stock market. But whether this is a sustainable run or just a bull trap remains to be seen. In this regard, is this a false dawn for SIA share price?

SIA share price to rock or melt with Special Share?

SIA share price crashed into wall

SIA share price nearing 20-year low

SIA share price in crisis mode

Indeed, the devastating COVID-19 has brought the entire aviation industry to its knee and roiled SIA share price to no end. With border controls tightening around the whole world, the national carrier is forced to cut its flight capacity by a staggering 96%. In the early days, I predicted a V-shape recovery for SIA share price using 2003 SARS as point of reference. But it seems that I had grossly underestimated the impact of COVID-19.

With so many aircraft grounded, the airline could be facing cash flow issue in the coming months.

The unfolding coronavirus is a complete disaster out of nowhere. Not only has the virus rocked the global markets, it has also brought the entire aviation, hospitality and tourism sectors to a complete standstill. Being a player in the US hospitality sector, Eagle Hospitality Trust is not spared from the carnage. But what made the crisis at Eagle Hospitality Trust so extraordinary is that within a year of listing in SGX mainboard, this REIT had been dogged by various negative publicity.

Eagle Hospitality Trust to blow up in pieces?

Eagle Hospitality Trust to swim or sink with Temasek Holdings?

In November 2019, The Edge Singapore revealed toxic inspection reports and a letter from the City of Long Beach to Urban Commons, sponsor of Eagle Hospitality Trust. In that letter, it was alleged that Urban Commons failed to meet obligations under The Queen Mary ground lease to make certain repairs required under the lease agreement.

Since that episode, the unit price of Eagle Hospitality Trust spiralled out of control, falling from USD0.70 to USD0.50. Amid the outbreak of the coronavirus, the unit price got bombed out to reach the abysmal level of USD0.14. But this is not all.

The once-in-a-century pandemic crisis has sparked a meltdown in SIA share price. Over the decades, SIA share price had endured the threats from Asia Financial Crisis (1997), 9/11 terrorist attacks (2001), SARS (2003) and the Great Financial Crisis of 2008). But the current COVID-19 crisis is unprecedented and provide a formidable challenge for the national carrier.

SIA share price crashed into wall

SIA share price nearing 20-year low

SIA share price in crisis mode

It seems that SIA share price is forced into a corner as various countries imposed travel restrictions and lockdowns to curb the spread of the virus. On 22 March 2020, Singapore government barred all short-term visitors from entering or transiting through Singapore. The latest measure will be the final nail in the coffin for SIA share price.

The slew of border control restrictions had led to SIA cutting flight capacity. At this point of writing, SIA Group had slashed 96% of its capacity till end April and grounded 138 of its parent and SilkAir aircraft. The latest development is pushing SIA share price to the edge of the cliff.

Given the grim outlook for SIA share price, will Singapore government intervene? Being the pride of our nation, Singapore Airlines is definitely a strategic asset that we cannot afford to lose.

Is this the beginning of the end for SIA share price? Amid the global coronavirus outbreak, SIA share price plummeted to new lows not seen even during the SARS period in 2003. During the SARS period, SIA had also cut flight capacity and put staff on no-pay leave. Even so, SIA share price did not drop below $8.00. Given that the number of Covid-19 infections have yet to peak, how low will SIA share price go?

In a reminder of how dreadful the situation is, Singapore budget airline, Jetstar Asia had grounded its entire fleet while Singapore Airlines cuts capacity by half. At Price/Book Value of just 0.65, SIA share price is currently trading way below its book value. But before you go bargain hunting, beware of catching a falling knife.

SIA share price nearing 20-year low

SIA share price in crisis mode

Amazingly, during the SARS of 2003, SIA still managed to clock in a decent amount of profits. But this time round, I expect SIA to book its first ever annual loss due to the rapid shut down of every major market by governments in a bid to stop the infection spread. Thus, expect a massive bout of meltdown in SIA share price, possibly to $2.00 in the coming days.

In my whole life, I have never seen such chaos in the financial market. No, not even during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. In 2020, Dow Jones had collapsed from a high of almost 30,000 points to a low of 20,000 points within the span of only a month. Sure, Dow Jones had also collapsed by 7000 points but that was over a period of 16 months (from October 2007 to February 2009). Given the speed and magnitude of the correction, the current crisis of confidence is unprecedented. Against this background, even Singtel share price suffered nuclear meltdown.

Singtel share price to swim or sink with coronavirus?

Singtel share price in double trouble

Year-to-date, Singtel share price had tanked 25%. In fact, Singtel share price has reached my previous target entry price of $2.60. However, my view is that the market has not reached a bottom yet. With the unraveling virus outbreak, there is too much market fear at the moment. In this regard, there is high possibility that Singtel share price may even breach the $2.00 support level and reach a low of $1.50.

Of course, it will be a real nightmare if Singtel share price really plunge to $1.50 because that will wipe off billion dollar worth of valuation from Singtel share price.

On 15 March 2020, US Federal Reserves held a second emergency meeting to slash interest rates to near zero and announced quantitative easing measures to contain the fallout from the coronavirus.  The stunning move is expected to impact local bank stocks like UOB share price in the coming days.

All hell broke loose for all three local bank stocks as COVID-19 unleashed the biggest financial storm in more than a decade. As one of the Strait Times Index (STI) heavyweights, UOB share price is not spared from the bloodbath carnage. At the point of writing, UOB share price had plunged by a staggering 26% while DBS stock slipped 27% and OCBC shed 20% year-to-date.

UOB share price in royal rumble with DBS and OCBC

UOB share price fought back after bizarre plunge

Being the only family-owned and family-managed bank in Singapore, UOB is controlled by the Wee family. During the financial pandemic of Great Financial Crisis 2009, veteran banker Wee Cho Yaw was still at the helm. Now, his eldest son, Wee Ee Cheong is holding the fort. Will UOB share price be able to fight against the gravitational pull of the virus pandemic?

Amid the unfolding coronavirus, UOB management decided to press the panic button by launching a series of shares buyback activities.

2020 will go down in history as one of the most terrifying years for investors as the stock markets plunged into total chaos amid the coronavirus outbreak. DBS is the largest lender in Singapore, so investors will always examine DBS Group Holdings share price to gauge the health of the economy. But question now is: will the second stimulus package from Singapore government be timely enough to salvage the situation?

DBS Group share price in dark chapter with virus

DBS Group Holdings share price ambushed by coronavirus?

At the point of writing (12 March 2020), DBS Group Holdings share price had tumbled 23%, much higher than the 17% correction for OCBC share price. The huge correction of DBS Group Holdings provided clear signal that recession should be on the way for Singapore.

But of more chilling revelation is the stunning oil price war. As the biggest lender in Singapore, DBS bank has substantial exposure to the oil and gas sector. Due to this, DBS Group Holdings share price had plunged from a high of $21 in 2015 to an abysmal low of $13 in 2016, the peak of the oil slump.

Certainly, the operating climate had turned massively dark and sombre as World Health Organization finally declared coronavirus as pandemic on 12 March 2020.

9 March 2020 would be remembered as one of the darkest days in financial world as global stock markets plunged into chaos following Saudi Arabia’s oil price war against Russia. Being one of the leading lights of Straits Times Index (STI), OCBC share price was not spared from the carnage.

OCBC share price collapsed following the epic announcement of the oil fall-out, breaching the support level of $10.00. Prior to the correction, OCBC share price had been hovering between $10.50 to $11.00. As one of the largest lenders to the oil and gas companies in Singapore, the latest blow from the oil saga knocked the wind out of OCBC share price.

OCBC share price to increase three-fold in decade?

OCBC share price led to my first investment in decade

Question now is whether OCBC share price will fall to $7.00? The last time that OCBC was trading at $7.00 was only in 2016, the peak of the oil price slump of 2014. So the nightmare scenario of OCBC share price free falling to $7.00 could be a possibility in the coming months. This is especially so given that the latest oil price war came on the back of the unfolding coronavirus outbreak.

The coronavirus outbreak has roiled the stock market as investors run for their lives. For sure, numerous countries all over the world are facing the real prospect of drastic economy slow-down. Retrenchments will surge and consumer spending will turn cautious. Yet despite all these, people still need water and electricity to carry on their daily lives. Being the largest infrastructure business trust in Singapore, is Keppel Infrastructure Trust (KIT share price) immune to the virus?

Before investors get carried away and buy into KIT share price, it is important to understand the business fundamentals of the company first. As a matter of fact, KIT share price had been very resilient despite the wave of challenges it encountered in recent years. But investing in business trust requires a different approach as compared to buying shares. Beside entering at the right KIT share price, you need to assess the factors that may affect the distributions.

In 2018, KIT share price had been affected by the challenging electricity market and a dispute of its subsidiary, Basslink, with the Australian government agency Hydro Tasmania over a 2015 power outage. There were also much uncertainties relating to the operational performance at SingSpring Desalination Plant because of the developments at embattled Hyflux.

What a perfect storm for SIA share price! Amid the coronavirus outbreak, SIA share price plunged to $8.00, a level not seen during the dark days of the Great Financial Crisis in 2009. To put things into perspective, even during the SARS in 2003, the lowest point for SIA share price was $8.30. And that was 2003. If you factor in the inflation rate, the present SIA price reflected how badly the national carrier had been hit by this black swan event.

SIA share price in crisis mode

SIA share price in moment of madness

Will SIA share price plummet to $7.50, the level it was trading in 2001? That was the period when US suffered the 9/11 terrorism attacks. On the basis of the current run of SIA share price, it seems like so. The reason for the difference between 2003 and the current situation is that the China traveller market had become a major revenue contributor for the SIA Group. Given that China is at the epicentre of the outbreak, SIA’s business is impacted for sure.

Another reason why SIA share price is in for a huge bout of volatility is the fact that the coronavirus is much more infectious than SARS.

Having worked in the aviation sector for 15 years, I have covered many aviation companies listed in SGX extensively. The only exception is China Aviation Oil (CAO). This S-chip made the headlines for all the wrong reasons in 2004 when the former CEO made a stunning USD550 million loss in derivatives trading. Time flies. China Aviation Oil had recovered from that dark chapter and CAO share price went from strength to strength.

Not many S-chips were able to bounce back from corporate governance scandal on such scale. So investors must be counting their blessings that CAO share price did not fall into the abyss. Currently, China Aviation Oil even boasts former Minister of State, Teo Ser Luck, as one of its board members.

The reason for the swift recovery of CAO share price over the years was due to strong support from both China and Singapore government. CAO is Asia-Pacific’s largest physical jet fuel trader and commands a monopoly in imported jet fuel for China’s civil aviation industry. Because of this, a collapse of China Aviation Oil would be disruptive to China’s airline operations. In addition to this, Temasek Holdings had also shown support through an equity stake to halt the meltdown of CAO share price back then.

In the final week of February 2020, Genting Singapore share price finally caved in, falling from $0.87 to $0.82. The reason for the fall was of course due to the horror plunge of Dow Jones in that week. Being part of the STI, it is no surprise that Genting Singapore share price turned bearish. But what is astonishing to me is that this counter had remained quite resilient in the face of the numerous headwinds the company faced.

Prior to the outbreak of the coronavirus, Genting Singapore share price had been grappling with the surprise increase in higher casino tax by 2022 and 50% increase in casino entry levies for Singaporeans and PRs effective 4 April 2019.

It didn’t help that the trade war between US and China had lasted longer than expected. The fallout from the bitter war is the possibility of Chinese high-rollers unable to repay their gambling debts. As a result of the above two major headwinds, Genting Singapore share price fell from a high of $1.40 in late 2017 to the current $0.82 level. Despite the challenges, it appears to me that Genting Singapore share has found a strong support level at $0.80.