SG Wealth Builder

In the Chinese Zodiac, the Dragon is the most powerful and auspicious symbol. In this regard, how will gold price unravel in 2024, the Year of the Dragon?

On 1 February 2024, I sold my remaining gold portfolio – a Canadian Gold Maple Leaf bullion that I had purchased from UOB Bank in 2014. The bullion was purchased at $1692 and divested for a profit of $1034. This represented a 61% return for a holding period of 10 years. The rationale for my recent bullion divestment was purely driven by the current bullish gold price.

The last time that I had divested my gold investment was in 2017. Back then, I had made a profit of 10% on the back of buoyant gold price. I had decided to cash out to consolidate my funds for the purchase of my matrimonial home.

So far, all my gold investments were made with UOB Bank. These included physical gold and gold savings account. When buying physical gold from UOB Bank, it is important to note that you must ensure that the physical gold is in its original sealed condition and the original UOB invoice must be presented. In addition, with effect from 30 November 2023, customers must be a UOB account holder in order to purchase physical gold from UOB.

Lifetime Membership What an absolute disaster. Barely a month into 2024, AEM share price plunged by 19% following the shock announcement of a shortfall in inventories that would likely torpedo the Group’s profits for FY2023. The latest fiasco came barely 6 months after the outrageous revelation of the US$20 million arbitration settlement with Advantest. Needless to say, all hell broke loose for AEM share price. Question now is: how will AEM share price unravel in 2024?

Given the meltdown in AEM share price, investors have every right to demand accountability from the management for this awful mess. In my opinion, the current CEO should take responsibility and offers to resign. Under his tenure, Lattice Innovation was acquired and had attracted the US$20 million settlement with Advantest, causing a crisis of confidence in AEM share price for the large part of 2023. And now, the company is struggling to cope with the fallout from the inventory shortfall. To compound misery, the press releases over the past two weeks raised more questions than answers for investors.

As a shareholder of AEM Holdings, the inventory shortfall saga left me absolutely flabbergasted. Obviously, the incident indicated a lack of robust internal control as the management shared that “the initial investigation into this issue attributes the shortfall to human error in transactions with the Group’s ERP system during the migration of production to the Group’s Penang facility from Singapore”.

Lifetime Membership A brand new year! How will DBS Group Holdings share price perform in 2024? Looking back, 2023 should be a roller-coaster ride for investors as DBS Group Holdings share price surged to a high of $36.20 on 10 February 2023, only to then free-fall all the way to $30.30 on 31 May 2023. The volatility of DBS Group Holdings share price in March 2023 was attributed to the collapse of several US regional banks, sparking fear of global financial contagion.

To add oil to fire, DBS Group Holdings share price came under further pressure in April 2023 following news of $1.3 billion loan exposure to beleaguered Adani Group and the infamous service outage, which led to the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) branding the disruption as “unacceptable”. Somehow, DBS Group Holdings share price managed to overcome these setbacks to end the year at a respectable level of $33.40.

As we enter 2024, questions abound if the US bank crisis is truly over. According to a paper by National Bureau of Economic Research, more than US$2 trillion of US bank asset values had been wiped off since monetary tightening of 2022. In particular, commercial real estate loans came under the spotlight due to declines in property value across US.

Lifetime Membership As 2023 draws to a close, it is time to review the performance of Keppel DC REIT share price. For many unitholders, 2023 must be a watershed year for Keppel DC REIT as the data centre REIT player swims in unchartered waters, confronting a slew of uncertainties and unfamiliar challenges.

First off the bat. Keppel DC REIT was expelled from the benchmark Straits Times Index (STI) on 19 June 2023, just less than 3 years after being included in the STI. Replacing Keppel DC REIT was Seatrium, which has been loss-making for the past 5 years and showing no sign of turning around till now. On this note, the expulsion of Keppel DC REIT (an S-REIT with a strong track record of profits) from STI should come as a rude shock for many unitholders.

Of course, being listed in STI has its perks as it comes with prestige, boosts the company branding and usually leads to increased trading liquidity for the stock. In fact, shortly after being included in the STI in October 2020, Keppel DC REIT share price smashed a record high of $3.05. So I guess some unitholders may be unhappy that Keppel DC REIT had been replaced by Seatrium in the STI.

Lifetime Membership On 8 December 2023, 17live Group Limited made the headline news, albeit for various reasons. The technology company made history as it was the first company to be listed in SGX through SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company). However, 17live share price sank on its debut, crashing by a whopping 19%. This made 17live share price one of the worst listing performers in recent years. An SG Wealth Builder member wrote to me to seek my insights.

At the point of writing, 17live share price has suffered a torrid meltdown, falling to $1.70 from $3.88. Will the counter go south further? This is very likely possible. However, in my opinion, the past 2 weeks of trading should not reflect the market value of 17live as the initial trading price was that of Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC), which was listed in SGX in 2022 with an IPO price of $5.00. In view of this, investors should expect plenty of volatility ahead for 17live share price as the counter continue to undergo market adjustments in the following weeks to reflect its market value.

In fact, the performance of 17live share price mirrored that of Grab, which got listed in Nasdaq in 2021 through a US$40 billion SPAC merger with Altimeter Growth Corp.

Lifetime Membership The last time that I covered Vicom was on 16 December 2021. In that article, I had predicted that Vicom share price would hover somewhere between $1.90 and $2.10 within the next few years, which it did for the most part of 2022 and early 2023. However, the wheels suddenly came off the wagon as Vicom share price stunned investors to collapse to a low of $1.28 on 27 October 2023.

The volatility of Vicom share price is not common though the counter has been on a long-term bearish trend in the past few years. Therefore, I can imagine some of the investors being shaken as the train-wreck of Vicom share price came out of the blue with no warning signs. An SG Wealth Builder Lifetime Member is concerned about the sudden loss of form for Vicom share price and requested my insight.

I did a quick check on the SGX short-selling activities of Vicom shares and verified that the collapse of Vicom share price was unlikely to be caused by the short-sellers. In fact, on most trading days, there were no short sells on this counter at all. Even on those days in which there were, the level of short-selling volume would not have triggered the explosive free fall of Vicom share price as the volumes were typically a few hundreds to a few thousands shares being shorted.

Lifetime Membership As we approach the end of the year, it is time to review the performance of Manulife US REIT share price, which became the talk of the town recently. Year-to-date, Manulife US REIT share price plunged by a devastating 78%. The meltdown was triggered in July 2023 after the Manager revealed that the S-REIT breached its financial covenant due to the decline in its property valuations.

Question now is whether Manulife US REIT share price will do an Eagle Hospitality Trust? This fear is not unfounded as the breach of financial covenant means that the banks have the right to accelerate payment of all its US$1,023.7 million of loans immediately. Under this scenario, liquidation of Manulife US REIT’s portfolio at distressed prices may be required.

14 December will be destiny day for unitholders as an EGM will be held for unitholders to support the Recapitalization Plan. For the Recapitalization Plan to go through, unitholders must vote for all three resolutions as they are inter-conditional. The three resolutions are:

• Resolution 1: the Proposed Divestment to the Sponsor;
• Resolution 2: the Proposed Sponsor-Lender Loan granted by the Sponsor-Lender;
• Resolution 3: the Proposed adoption of the Disposition Mandate.

Following the announcement of the Recapitalization Plan, Manulife US REIT share price crashed to a low of US$0.05.

Lifetime Membership Amid the bearish market condition, many SGX stocks, with the exception of local bank stocks, have been in sluggish form. However, Hongkong Land share price stood out as it sunk to a new low recently. On 25 October 2023, Hongkong Land share price plunged to a 14-year low to hit US$3.10. Year-to-date, Hongkong Land share price sank 28%, making the counter one of the worst performers of the Straits Times Index (STI). Interestingly, Hongkong Land share price performed even worse than Seatrium, the perennial whipping boy in STI. What on earth has happened to this leading light of SGX?

For background, Hongkong Land is one of the most venerable listed companies in Singapore, with a long history of 130 years. Possibly, only Boustead, OCBC’s Great Eastern and UOB’s Haw Par Corp can match Hongkong Land in terms of pedigree and history. If you are talking about prestige, Hongkong Land is even more impressive as its parent company is none other than the famous Jardine Matheson Holdings. Together with DFI Retail Group, Jardine C&C and Jardine Matheson Holdings, Hongkong Land forms the “Hong Kong Four Tigers” that rule STI for many years.

Under the Jardine Matheson Group, this network of companies establishes an impenetrable fortress in the SGX mainboard.

Should AEM investors panick? The latest business update caused plenty of concerns among investors as revenue for its Test & Automation Equipment unit collapsed to an alarming low of $6.4 million in 3QFY2023 (during the 1HFY2023, the Test & Automation Equipment unit recorded revenue of $45.1 million while revenue for 9MFY2023 amounted to $51.1 million). Against this backdrop, investors should expect plenty of volatility for AEM share price in the coming weeks, or even months.

Frankly speaking, most AEM investors, including myself, had expected revenue for the whole of FY2023 to be dismal in view of the current slump in the semiconductor industry. However, I had not expected the business performance to be that bad. We are talking about $6.4 million of revenue for its Test & Automation Equipment unit. This means that from June to September 2023, the Test & Automation Equipment unit had produced just 2 to 3 test equipment only? If this is really so, the 365,000- square-foot manufacturing plant in Penang (which was just opened in January 2023) must be really empty and quiet.

The plunge in revenue could be attributed to the lack of volume ramp from Intel, which is traditionally the largest revenue source for AEM.

Lifetime Membership Christmas comes early for iFAST investors! Within a month, iFAST share price rocketed 22%, surging from $5.60 as of 2 October 2023 to the current $7.00. On 15 January 2023, I wrote that iFAST share price may recover in 2023. On the basis of the current bullish run, it seems that the stock has indeed recovered as iFAST share price increased by 18% year-to-date. But is the counter getting ahead of its fundamentals?

iFAST share price became stuff of legend in Singapore stock market when the counter rocketed from $1.00 in 2020 to an incredible high of $10 in 2021. The meteoric rise of iFAST share price must be surreal for iFAST investors.

For background, iFAST is an online platform company offering investment products to retail investors. At the same time, financial institutions and banks can distribute their investment products through iFAST’s platform. The supersonic boom of iFAST share price in recent years was due to the award of Hong Kong ePension scheme in early 2021.

Nonetheless, the wheels came off the wagon for iFAST share price in 2022 as the series of interest rate hikes by US Federal Reserve and the Russia-Ukraine war combined to knock the wind out of global stock market.

Lifetime Membership Is it light at end of tunnel for AEM share price? The past two years had been an absolute nightmare for investors as the AEM share price crashed from a high of $5.26 on 31 December 2021 to the current $3.70 level. The correction of AEM share price was largely caused by the slowdown in the semiconductor industry. However, AEM share price appears to have bottomed recently as the counter rose 6.7% year-to-date. What could be the driving factor behind the recent revival of AEM share price?

In my view, the recent spike in AEM share price could be attributed to events unfolding in a small Central American nation – Costa Rica, which is Intel’s only assembly and test operations in the West. On 30 August 2023, Intel announced that it would invest US$1.2 billion in the Costa Rica plant over the next two years. Now, how would this affect AEM if you may ask? Let me provide my insights and the resulting impact for AEM share price.

The Costa Rica facility was closed down in 2014 as Intel shifted its assembly and test operations to Asian countries such as China, Malaysia and Vietnam. However, the US-China chip war has led to Intel restarting the assembly and test operations in Costa Rica since 2020.

Lifetime MembershipSingtel share price is stuck in quicksand! One year ago, Singtel’s Optus had suffered a devastating cyber-attack in which 1.2 million of its customers personal data were leaked. Subsequently, another unit of Singtel, Dialog suffered cyberattack that compromised personal data of its employees and clients. The biggest irony is that in 2015, Singtel had splashed out US$810 million to acquire Trustwave which is supposedly a leading cybersecurity company. Yet Singtel stood powerless in the face of the brutal cyber-attacks.

To be fair to the current CEO, Kuan Moon Yuen, Trustwave is a flop acquired by the previous CEO, Chua Sock Koong. So it would not be reasonable to attribute the blame to the current CEO. Nonetheless, the cyber-attacks vindicated Trustwave is not only a white elephant, but also a toxic asset that had caused Singtel to bleed hundreds of millions annually. For FY20/21, the losses incurred by Trustwave amounted to $166 million while FY21/22 saw losses amounting to $145 million. For FY22/23, the losses from Trustwave stood at $133 million.

Under the leadership of Chua Sock Koong, Singtel share price had plunged to a low of October 2020. The crisis of confidence in Singtel share price subsequently saw the retirement of the CEO.

BYD, China’s leading electric vehicle (EV) maker and rechargeable battery producer, is on a roll. In the first seven months of 2023, the Group sold 1.5 million new energy vehicles, an increase of 89% year-on-year. According to data from the China Automobile Association, in the first half of 2023, the market share of the Group’s new energy vehicles further expanded to 33.5%, an increase of 6.5 percentage points compared with 2022. Despite so, the strong business performance has not been reflected in BYD share price. Why is this so?

The 52-week low of BYD share price was HK$161.70 while the 52-week high was HK$280. The volatility of BYD share price could be due to the sell-offs by legendary investor Warren Buffett. Back in 2008, Warren Buffett acquired 225 million of BYD shares for HK$1.8 billion (US$230 million). That worked out to be HK$8 per share. Given the current BYD share price, Warran Buffett’s profit would have been at least 40 times of his initial investment on BYD!

Warren Buffett’s investment in BYD in 2008 demonstrated his vision and brilliant foresight. Let’s be clear about this. In 2008, we had the global financial crisis roiling the stock market upside down.

Lifetime MembershipBeing the oldest insurance company in Singapore and Malaysia, Great Eastern needs no introduction. The holding company of Great Eastern is none other than OCBC, which holds 88.4% stake in the insurer. Despite the relationship between the two entities, OCBC share price and Great Eastern share price took on different trajectories in recent years.

Prior to the pandemic, the oil slump of 2016 impacted all three local banks. As a result, OCBC share price peaked in 2018, falling from a record high of $13.75 in April 2018 to a low of $8.35 during the global market crash in March 2020. Subsequently, the recovery from pandemic and aggressive interest rate hikes by US Federal Reserve led to the return of the form of OCBC share price. As at 7 September 2023, OCBC share price was trading at $12.60.

On the other hand, Great Eastern share price has declined considerably for the past five years, falling from $31 in May 2018 to the current $18.20 (as of 7 September 2023). In June 2023, Great Eastern share price collapsed to a 5-year low of $16.90, which was even lower than the $17.30 mark seen in March 2020. The meltdown of Great Eastern share price since 2018 could be attributed to the insurer having to contribute a whopping RM2.0 billion to the B40 National Protection Scheme in lieu of complying with the 70% foreign ownership requirement imposed on its subsidiary, Great Eastern Life Assurance (Malaysia) Berhad.

It is that “uh-oh” feeling for Comfortdelgro share price again. On 8 June 2023, Comfortdelgro share price plunged to a record low of $1.00. Notably, the collapse of Comfortdelgro share price came shortly after the release of a dismal 1QFY2023 business update on 18 May 2023 that saw operating profit collapsing 52% to reach $32.8 million.

In my previous article on this counter, I had expressed my concerns on the long-term prospect of this company. And the devastating crash of Comfortdelgro share price in June 2023 certainly vindicated my thesis. Should investors run for their lives?

Comfortdelgro is a transport company with a total fleet size of about 34,000 buses, taxis and rental vehicles. SBS Transit, a listed company, is a subsidiary. Vicom, another SGX-listed company, is another subsidiary. For the past decade, Comfort Delgro has spread its wings overseas, with operations in Australia, the United Kingdom, New Zealand, China, Ireland and Malaysia.

Many investors must be feeling disgruntled at the terrible form of ComfortDelgro share price, which had declined substantially for the past 5 years. For sure, the explosive meltdown of the counter led to poor returns for many investors. As at 1 September 2023, Comfortdelgro share price was trading at $1.27.

All hell breaks loose for Manulife US REIT share price. The last time that I wrote about Manulife US REIT share price was on 17 November 2019. That was before the onset of the pandemic. Fast forward to 25 August 2023, Manulife US REIT share price plunged to a terrifying low of US$0.071 as the S-REIT fights for its life in ICU. What has gone so awfully wrong for this S-REIT?

There are investors who claim that investing in S-REITs is straightforward. Some even claim that S-REITs are relatively safe due to their investment structures. But over the years, look at what happened to Eagle Hospitality Trust, Dasin Retail Trust, EC World Trust, Lippo Mall Indonesia Retail Trust and First REIT? Investors must realize that there are risks involved, such as quality of sponsor, currency risk, portfolio concentration risks, geopolitical risks, consumer trend, etc.

For Manulife US REIT, investors are in for a wild ride as the S-REIT could either end up like the infamous Eagle Hospitality Trust or stage a magnificent turnaround. For sure, there are a few investors betting on a fairy-tale recovery of Manulife US REIT share price. Their convictions are not entirely based on blind faith as the counter had staged similar rebound after the US Federal Reserve slashed interest three times in 2019.

As the saying goes, the darker the night the nearer the dawn. AEM share price could suffer a devastating train-wreck in the coming weeks as the Group unveiled a set of 1HFY2023 financial result that saw revenue plunged 49% year-on-year to $275 million while net profit crashed 76% year-on-year to $19.7 million. As at 11 August 203, AEM share price was trading at $3.42. Question now is whether the counter will see daylight soon?

The latest result extinguished any flickering of hopes that recovery for AEM’ semiconductor test solutions business will occur in 2023. The result also banished investors’ hope of a U-shape recovery for AEM share price. Evidently, recovery for the semiconductor industry is slower than expected as AEM management revised downward its revenue guidance for FY2023 from a target of $500 million to a range between $460 million to $490 million on the back of reduced test capital equipment utilisation levels across the industry.In the face of the recent dismal financial result, it will take a miracle for AEM share price to turn the tide unless something drastically positive takes place in the near future. This is unlikely to be the case. In fact, 3^rd quarter financial result could be worse as the first payment of US$9 million will be made for the arbitration with Advantest.

Being the leading light of SGX, the form of DBS Group share price has a major influence on the Straits Times Index (STI). Year-to-date, STI has increased by a mere 1.26%. Similarly, DBS Group share price has been on a sluggish form, increasing incrementally by just 1.09%. After seeing off the devastating COVID-19 pandemic in May 2022, the continuing tepid form of DBS Group share price in 2023 must have left many investors feeling exasperated as many of them have anticipated 2023 to be the year of recovery for DBS.

Since 17 March 2022, US Federal Reserve had raised interest rates by 11 consecutive times. Rightfully, Singapore banks’ business should have benefitted from the aggressive interest rate hikes by US Federal Reserves due to higher interest income. Yet, DBS Group share price had hardly moved at all for the past one year – it was trading at $34.75 on 18 March 2022 vis-à-vis the $34.25 as at 4 August 2023. Indeed, DBS Group had delivered a series of excellent financial results in the past few quarters but it’ shares had flattered to deceive thus far.

In the latest release of financial result, DBS Group had delivered a set of stellar financial result again.

It’s the time when companies report their financial results again! On 25 July 2023, Mapletree Logistics Trust announced its first quarter financial result ended 30 June 2023. How will Mapletree Logistics Trust unit price unravel from here? As at 28 July 2023, Mapletree Logistics Trust unit price was trading at $1.73.

For background, Mapletree Logistics Trust is an S-REIT that invests in a diversified portfolio of logistics real estate in Asia Pacific with the aim of providing its unitholders with a stable distribution stream. As at 30 June 2023, it has a portfolio of 193 properties in Singapore, Australia, China, Hong Kong SAR, India, Japan, Malaysia, South Korea and Vietnam with assets under management of S$13.5 billion.

Looking back, the past two years had been nothing short of turbulent for Mapletree Logistics Trust unit price. The mega $700 million equity fund raising in November 2021 had knocked the wind out of Mapletree Logistics Trust unit price. Subsequently, the consecutive 10 interest rate hikes by US Federal Reserve sent the counter to a low of $1.43 in October 2022. Somehow, the S-REIT managed to recover its form since October 2022 and is trading at $1.72 at the point of writing.

I bought 16,000 shares when Mapletree Logistics Trust unit price was trading at $1.96 in November 2021.

The moment has arrived. In my previous article on Lenovo share price, I predicted that Lenovo share price should start to fly in the second half of 2023. True enough, as of 14 July, Lenovo share price (HKEX: 992) hit a high of HK$8.51, representing an increase of nearly 31% year-to-date. Question now is whether the rally of Lenovo share price will sustain?

Make no mistake. The current PC market is still mired in doldrums as Q1 2023 global PC shipments fell 28% year-on-year to reach 56.7 million units, the lowest quarterly numbers in the past 10 years. However, Lenovo share price started to climb steadily since late 2022, going from HK$6.40 to the current HK$8.00. The rally of Lenovo share price may be due to growing signs that the PC market has bottomed and the only way to go for the industry is upward.

According to data released by the Semiconductor Industry Association, the semiconductor industry saw month-to-month global chip sales inched upward in May 2023 for the third consecutive month, sparking optimism for a possible market rebound in the second half of 2023. The data indicated that the global inventory glut is easing off, and PC demand should gradually recover in the latter half of 2023.

On 19 June 2023, OCBC increased its stake in Great Eastern (GE) to 88.4%. The venerable bank tried to privatise Great Eastern Holdings (GEH) unsuccessfully in 2004 and 2006. In the 2006 attempt, OCBC Bank managed to raised its stake in Great Eastern to 87.1%. Since then, OCBC Bank has steadily increased its stake to 87.91% as at 31 March 2021. If a privatisation does materialise, what would be the implication on OCBC share price?

Under SGX Rule 723 of the Listing Manual, listed companies must ensure that at least 10% of their issued shares must be held by the public. As OCBC currently holds about 88.4% of Great Eastern, the bank would just need to acquire only 1.6% more of Great Eastern shares in order to trigger the mandatory delisting requirement.

As at 20 June 2023, OCBC share price was trading at $12.56, remaining flat after the Great Eastern stake increase. The fact that the counter did not move at all could mean that the market viewed a potential privatization of Great Eastern as “non-event” for OCBC share price. However, what if OCBC privatize the insurance and then sell it off to unlock value for OCBC shareholders?

An SG Wealth Builder member had raised the possibility of OCBC divesting Great Eastern to me lately.

On 22 November 2022, I wrote that SIA share price could continue its bullish form in 2023. Indeed, the counter went on a rampage, surging from $5.45 to the recent $7.30. Year-to-date, SIA share price had rocketed nearly 33%, putting to rest any lingering doubts of another false dawn for the Singapore carrier.

The explosive form of SIA share price came on the back of the announcement of record profits in its 76-year history. The Group recorded a massive net profit of $2.1 billion for FY2022/23, an incredible turnaround from the loss of $948 million incurred in last year. Revenue surged to $17.8 billion, up from $7.6 billion. The ultra-stellar result led to the Group rewarding its staff with staff bonus of up to 8 months. The gesture of goodwill was to reward the staff for their sacrifice (pay cuts) made during the pandemic.

Evidently, SIA’s decision to shore up liquidity and reinstate capacity paid dividend as the airline was the first to capitalize on the pent-up demand for air travel. In March 2023, the passenger capacity reached 79% of pre-COVID levels. Question now: is SIA share price getting ahead of its fundamentals?

Given that the EPS is $0.35, SIA share price is currently being traded at PE of 20.9, which is on the high side.

Recently, I was reading one of my old articles on Sembcorp Industries share price written in August 2020. Back then, Sembcorp Industries collapsed to $1.80 following the demerger with Sembcorp Marine. However, I made a bold prediction that Sembcorp Industries would hit $5. Fast forward to 29 May 2023, Sembcorp Industries share price finally crossed that magical $5 mark.

To be frank, the explosive form of Sembcorp Industries share price had been nothing short of a fairy tale in SGX. Apart from iFAST, Sembcorp Industries is one of the only few SGX stocks that captures the imagination of investors. The stark difference between the two stocks is that the bullish run of iFAST shares did not last long while Sembcorp Industries share price went from strength to strength.

Given the splendid form of Sembcorp Industries share price, credit should be given to the Group CEO, Wong Kim Yin, who joined the Group only in July 2020. During his short tenure, CEO Wong has been instrumental in transforming Sembcorp Industries’ portfolio from brown to green. For the past three years, the Group secured a slew of green energy contracts. These contract wins enabled Sembcorp Industries share price back to rocket its way past the pre-pandemic levels.

It is often said that to win in the stock market, you must buy low and sell high. Yet when a stock goes into a free fall, it takes an investor with incredible gumption to buy the stock. AEM share price (SGX: AWX) is currently in that predicament. After hitting a high of $5.25 in 31 December 2021 due to the pandemic-induced technology boom, AEM share price collapsed to the current $3.40 at the point of writing.

The rise and fall of AEM share price (SGX: AWX) are indeed intriguing yet gut-wrenching for investors. In this context, the high volatility of AEM share price (SGX: AWX) means that this stock is not suitable for retail investors looking for stable returns. Despite so, it is certainly not the endgame for the semiconductor test equipment company. Investors must realize that AEM Holdings operates in a highly cyclical industry and its business is affected by the slump in the sector.

The latest financial result only confirmed what it already known to many investors – recovery of the semiconductor will likely to take place only in the latter half of this year due to the inventory glut across the industry. In view of this, AEM share price (SGX: AWX) faces a blistering winter ahead.

Could Optus’s cybersecurity attack become another Bharti Airtel for Singtel? In November 2019, Singtel posted its first quarterly loss due to the $1.93 billion pre-tax share of Bharti Airtel’s one-off charge in India. That India saga saw Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) plunging from $3.40 in late 2019 to a low of $2.00 in October 2020. The turmoil also saw the departure of former CEO, Chua Sock Koong in December 2020. Against this backdrop, investors must be holding their breath on the unfolding class action suit against its wholly-owned subsidiary, Optus.

On 21 April 2023, Singtel announced that “a class action against six (6) Australian Optus entities was filed in the Federal Court of Australia”. According to a Straits Times article, it was alleged that more than 100,000 current and former customers had joined in the class action suit. In my opinion, given the severity of the incident and the scale of the cybersecurity victims, the potential costs and fines may be at least US$1 billion based on Bharti Airtel saga. Of course, this is just my personal opinion and I could be wrong.

Last year, several analysts had predicted that the data breach could cost Singtel hefty costs of about US$500 million, to which Singtel had rubbished as “speculative”.