Month: November 2021

DBS Group Holdings share price (SGX: D05) in crisis

DBS Group Holdings share price

Chinese New Year Special Offer! Troubles come in troops for DBS Group Holdings share price. Looking back, the counter smashed a record high of $32.60 on 5 November following a splendid bull run. It certainly seemed that the sky was the limit for DBS Group Holdings share price. But unexpectedly, the wheels came off the wagon for DBS Group Holdings after the bank reported a subpar 9MFY2021 financial result that saw net income interest falling 9% year-on-year. The following Monday (8 November), DBS Group Holdings share price turned bearish.

Shortly after the release of the latest financial result, the bank suffered one of its worst service disruptions in the past decade, prompting Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to mull taking regulatory actions against the bank in the coming days. The outage led to temporary crisis of confidence on DBS Group Holdings share price.

DBS Group Holdings share price

Just when investors thought that the worst was over for DBS Group Holdings share price, another nightmare unfolded. On 26 November, investors woke up to stunning revelation of a new COVID-19 variant that may be more contagious than the Delta variant. What spooked investors is that the variant could render current vaccines ineffective given its significant mutations. Due to the uncertainties, Straits Times Index (STI) suffered a carnage, and DBS Group Holdings share price was not spared from the market sell-offs.

From my assessment, I do not foresee the new variant to have a major impact on DBS’ core banking business. According to CEO Piyush Gupta, the loan exposure in FY2020 for aviation, oil and gas and SME sectors amounted to $6 billion, $23 billion and $39 billion. The major bulk of its loan portfolio is still concentrated in housing and building and construction. Hence, even if the authorities tighten the public health measures in the coming …

ISDN share price to rocket to $1.90?

EnGro share price

Chinese New Year Special Offer! Will ISDN share price do an AEM? Since January 2020, ISDN share price has rocketed more than 300% to reach the current $0.75. The meteoric rise of ISDN share price has led investors to compare the counter to fellow SGX peer, AEM. Apart from this, what is the possibility of Temasek Holdings taking a stake in ISDN?

In life, never say never. Temasek Holdings investments in AEM and CSE Global showed that the sovereign wealth fund is open in taking majority stakes in promising home-grown companies listed in SGX mainboard. Like AEM and CSE Global, ISDN is an engineering company that provides technological solutions to its customers. In this article, I will examine the possibility of Temasek Holdings taking a stake in ISDN and the potential impacts on ISDN share price.

ISDN share price

The principal activities of ISDN are mainly on motion control, industrial computing, other specialised engineering solutions and construction of hydropower plants. The Group is listed on SGX Mainboard since 24 November 2005 and achieved a dual primary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on 12 January 2017.

In Singapore ISDN share price is largely under the radar of institutional investors. For the past one year, this counter did not feature in any of the monthly top ten institutional net buy or sell lists. Nonetheless, this is not a dead stock as average 3-month volume is 116 million. This suggests that the surging form of ISDN share price in recent months could be attributed to strong retail buying interests.

If we turn back the clock, we can actually see that ISDN share price rocketed from $0.11 in November 2012 to an incredibly high of $1.42 in June 2013. That was an amazing 12-fold increase within the span of just seven months! Back then, those …

AEM share price (SGX: AWX) to hit $20 with new patent?

AEM share price AWX

Chinese New Year Special Offer! For the past one week, AEM share price (SGX: AWX) has been in outrageous form. Apparently, the 3rd quarter business update had ignited the rally of AEM share price (SGX: AWX). At the point of writing, this counter is still in red hot form and showing no sign of cooling down. What truly confounded many investors was the fact that net profit for 9MFY2021 had plummeted 33.4% to $53 million. The rise of AEM share price (SGX: AWX) defied all sense of logic as poorer financial result usually leads to lower share price. Against this backdrop, what could be the triggering factor that led to the raging form of AEM share price (SGX: AWX)?

In my view, the sudden burst of form of AEM share price (SGX: AWX) may not be attributed to a potential Nasdaq listing nor the positive outlook for its chip testing business. Although these are important catalysts for AEM share (SGX: AWX), I honestly doubt that they played a part in the recent meteoric rise of 21% in AEM share price (SGX: AWX) in the past one month.

AEM share price AWX

Based on my hypothesis, I think the recent superb form of AEM share price (SGX: AWX) should be due to the recent award of the patent crucial for its next generation System Level Test platform (patent no: 20210325452). The Group filed the application for the patent on 16 September 2020 but was only awarded the patent on 21 October 2021. The patent effectively paved the way for the volume ramp up with its key customer, Intel. The patent award also coincided with the explosive form of AEM share price (SGX: AWX). Talk about being at the right time and right place!

AEM share price (SGX: AWX) to rocket to $8.30?

Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) in Christmas mood!

Singtel share price

Chinese New Year Special Offer! Christmas comes early for Singtel share price (SGX: Z74)! The counter is in buoyant form following the release of a set of stellar first half financial result that saw net profit more than doubled to $954 million. In my last article, I had suggested that winter may be over for Singtel share price (SGX: Z74). On the basis of the latest financial result, it seems that the telco has managed to turnaround.

Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) was also given a boost as the management made a couple of shares buybacks in the past few days. 620,989 shares were bought back on 12 November while 620,500 shares were bought back on 15 November. It is unknown if the shares repurchase will continue in the coming days. Year-to-date, Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) has climbed about 10%.

Singtel share price Z74

Looking at the results, there are several factors that led to the revival of Singtel’s businesses, namely the resumption in regional economic activities and Airtel’s turnaround. If the telco continues to perform like this for the next two quarters, Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) should be able to breakthrough $3.00 – the level at which Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) used to be traded during pre-pandemic period.

Despite the good showing, the Group announced interim dividend of merely 4.5 cents per share. This is even lower than the interim dividend of 5.1 cents per share given out in last year. Assuming the final dividend pay-out is also 4.5 cents per share and based on current Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) of $2.58, the annualized yield is just 3.5%.  Given the volatility of Singtel share price (SGX: Z74), the dividends are not exactly appealing to investors.

The lower dividend pay outs will weigh on Singtel share price (SGX: Z74) …

AEM share price (SGX: AWX) to rocket to $8.30?

AEM share price

LIFETIME MEMBERSHIP Hurry! The train is leaving! What a swashbuckling return in form for AEM share price (SGX: AWX). Following the release of the 3rd quarter business update on 10 November, the counter surged 4.5% the next trading day. As of 12 November, AEM share price (SGX: AWX) rocketed 9% to hit a record high of $4.78. Can anything stop AEM share price (SGX: AWX)?

Although net profit for 9MFY2021 plummeted 33.4% to $53 million, the latest business update revealed a glowing outlook for AEM share (SGX: AWX).

AEM share price AWX

In the business update, the management raised the full-year revenue guidance to between $525 million and $550 million. For AEM to meet this revenue guidance, the Group needs to achieve about $200 million in the 4th quarter. The management has a strong track record of meeting its revenue guidance, so I am confident that AEM is able to meet this target. However, the key sentence in the business update that could turbocharge AEM share price (SGX: AWX) is “the Group expects the ramp to continue through 4Q2021 and into FY2022”.

Based on the above statement, AEM should be raking in about $200 million of revenue in each quarter of FY2022 due to the volume ramp of their test platforms to key customer, Intel. Assuming net profit margin of 16%, the full-year net profit for FY2022 could be $128 million. This will translate to earning per share of $0.42. Attaching a PE ratio of 20, the forward AEM share price (SGX: AWX) could be $8.30.

Given that AEM share price (SGX: AWX) is being traded at $4.38 at the point of writing, it would take a leap of faith for this counter to reach $8.30. Then again, AEM share price (SGX: AWX) does not follow the script. The counter is …

Here’s why Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) plunged 12%

Healthway Medical share price

LIFETIME MEMBERSHIP My last coverage on Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) was in June 2020. Back then, the counter was recovering from the initial impact of the pandemic. Nonetheless, Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) remained sluggish for most of 2020 until news of vaccines broke out in November 2020. Since then, global roll-out of vaccine programmes and easing of border restrictions led to Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) rocketing to a near-record high of $1.55 in October 2021.

Unexpectedly, the bullish form Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) was brought to a screeching halt when the shares plunged 12% to reach a low of $1.35 on 3 November 2021. To be honest, the volatility of Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) is rather rare and it prompted a Lifetime Member of SG Wealth Builder to seek an insight from me.

Raffles Medical share price BSL

There are analysts who claimed that the recent correction of Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) is due to the revised on-arrival COVID PCR test requirements for travellers arriving in or transiting through Singapore (from 7 Oct 2021 onwards, travellers from CAT II, III & IV countries do not need to do on-arrival PCR tests). For perspective, Raffles Medical conducted over 600,000 COVID-9 tests and screened more than six million travellers in 2020. So the latest changes on arrival test requirements for travellers could have a big impact on Raffles Medical share price (SGX: BSL) in the short-term.

Whilst the revised test regime for travellers may impact Raffles Medical’s revenue, I think a greater impact could come from the transition from Rostered Routine Testing (RRT) to Employer Supervised Self Swab (ESSS) as required by various government agencies.

Workers in Changi Airport, local airlines, construction, marine shipyard, process sectors and those workers living in dormitories are subjected …

OCBC share price (SGX: O39) went AWOL

OCBC share price

LIFETIME MEMBERSHIP It seems that OCBC share price (SGX: O39) have lost its way. On 3 November 2021, the local bank released a set of financial result that saw 3rd quarter’s net profit rose by an impressive 19% year-on-year to reach $1.22 billion. Nine months’ net profit rose by a staggering 58% to $3.88 billion. With such a solid performance, most investors would have popped the champagne. Yet OCBC share price (SGX: O39) confounded investors by retreating 0.75% on that fateful day.

To be honest, the tepid performance of OCBC share price (SGX: O39) is truly bizarre. Like many investors, I had expected plenty of fireworks for OCBC share price (SGX: O39) following the release of the excellent 3rd quarter business update. I do think that it is reasonable to expect OCBC share price (SGX: O39) when you see such good result. But then again, Man proposes, God disposes. OCBC share price (SGX: O39) went missing in action instead.

OCBC share price O39

The trend of OCBC share price (SGX: O39) is eerily similar to that of Wilmar, another Straits Times Index heavyweight. In October 2020, Wilmar share price suffered an explosive meltdown following the hugely successful listing of Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd (YKA). Then in February 2021, Wilmar share price lost form unexpectedly following the release of a set of great financial result.

Like OCBC, Wilmar management also went on the offensive to defend Wilmar share price and bought back a whopping 50.4 million Wilmar shares. As for OCBC, the management bought back 21.48 million of OCBC shares so far. CEO Helen Wong was forced into the titanic rescue mission of OCBC share price (SGX: O39) as the shares of the local bank had been the subject of brutal attacks by the financial big boys. For the month …

Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) in rock and roll

Mapletree Logistics Trust share price M44U

Chinese New Year Special Offer! Will the latest financial result set fire on Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U)? The counter has been in buoyant mood in recent days following the release of a set of stellar financial result that saw 1st half gross revenue increasing 24.4% year-on-year to $328 million while net property income surged 21.4% to hit $289 million. Amount distributable to unitholders increased 19.2% to $186 million.

To be frank, it has not been a bed of roses for Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) in 2021. The counter crashed from $2.00 in January to a low of $1.78 in March. To be frank, I could not explain the root cause for the correction of Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U). So far, there were no equity financing nor were there any adverse news affecting Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U). Hence, the tepid performance of Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) had been puzzling.

Mapletree Logistics Trust share price M44U

Year-to-date, Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) increased by a mere 1.5% only. This is despite the S-REIT continuing to deliver good financial results for the past few quarters. Looking back, one of the plausible reasons for the lethargic trend of Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) could be due to the lack of interest from institutional fund houses.

A check with SGX website showed that the only period in which institutional fund houses entered this counter was in May 2021 – the counter was in the top ten institutional net buy list with $34.6 million being net bought. That buying spree sent Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) to a high of $2.15. Subsequently, the dearth of buying by the big boys led to Mapletree Logistics Trust share price (SGX: M44U) …