Month: October 2020

Sign up for only $19.99! What a disaster for Singtel share price. Investors must have thought they have seen the worst of Singtel share price when global stock markets plunged on 23 March 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Most stocks had since recovered from that dark chapter but Singtel share price continued its dismal run. What the hell has happened to this leading light of SGX?

Amid the devastating meltdown of Singtel share price, the telco announced the retirement of CEO Chua Song Koong effective on 1 January 2021. That fateful announcement provided some temporary relief for Singtel share price, which surged from $2.15 on 1 October to $2.20 on 14 October. But sentiments continued to be sour for this counter as Singtel share price continued its bearish run thereafter. Is this really the end of the road for Singtel share price?

Singtel share price crashed to 12-year low

Singtel share price braces for bloodbath

Singtel share price to collapse to $1.50?

Singtel share price in devastating bloodbath

Singtel share price to swim or sink with coronavirus?

As I have never invested in Singtel, I have nothing against CEO Chua Song Koong. Arguably, her best achievements were the acquisition of Optus in Australia and the divestment of Netlink Trust in 2017, which led to Singtel share price hitting a high of $4.00. But her failure to turnaround the perennial loss-making Group Digital Life and Airtel in India could have led to her imminent departure.

On 16 October, the Group announced that its joint venture, Telkomsel, had entered into a sale and purchase agreement for the sale of 6,050 telecommunication towers to PT Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (“Mitratel”) for IDR10.3 trillion (approximately $950 million). This is supposedly a positive news. Nevertheless, this also did not provide any uplift for Singtel share price, …

Sign up for only $19.99! Is it the right time and right place for OCBC share price? At Price/Book Value of 0.805, OCBC share price is trading below its book value, no thanks to the fallout from COVID-19 pandemic. Yet against the backdrop of Singapore’s Phase 3 reopening, will OCBC share price be able to ride on the coming recovery?

On a quarter-to-quarter basis, Singapore’s GDP expanded by 7.9% due to the robust showing from the manufacturing sector. Being the bellwether of the economy, bank stocks are proxy to the country’s economic condition. In this regard, the coming third quarter business update will be a baptism of fire for OCBC share price as investors will be scrutinizing the performance of OCBC’s insurance subsidiary, Great Eastern.

What can float a boat can also sink it. While Great Eastern Holdings had provided OCBC an unassailable edge over DBS and UOB for decades, the volatile financial performances of the insurance company had wrecked OCBC share price in recent years. Coupled with COVID-19, it is indeed the perfect storm for both OCBC and Great Eastern.

Year-to-date, OCBC share price had been hammered left, right and centre by the devastating COVID-19 pandemic. OCBC share price would have suffered a worse fate if not for the $100 billion economic stimulus packages from the government. However, one of the measures of Monetary Authority of Singapore is the restriction of shares buybacks in exchange for the loosening of some capital requirements.

Among the three local banks, OCBC is considered the most aggressive when it comes to shares buybacks in recent years. The series of shares buybacks in March and April enabled OCBC share price to make a swift recovery from the low of $7.80, the peak of the COVID-19 impact on global stock markets. Without the shares buybacks, …

Sign up for only $19.99! What a nail-biting roller coaster ride for Wilmar share price! On the day of its China unit (YKA) IPO, Wilmar share price surged to a high of $4.70 before crashing to $4.36. The volatility of Wilmar share price caught many investors by surprise as YKA debut with roaring success, closing at more than 100% to the IPO price.

Wilmar share price to rocket to $7?

Wilmar share price to hit the roof in 2020?

Wilmar share price in lung bursting form

Looking through the SGX website, it was confirmed that the collapse of Wilmar share price was the work of the short-sellers. On 15 October, short selling activities on Wilmar share price surged to a whopping 10.5 million, nearly 10 times the daily average volume for this counter. So while the Chinese investors popped the champagne over the successful YKA IPO, investors of Wilmar were confounded over the crash of Wilmar share price.

In fact, the shorting against Wilmar share price had been timed to perfection as it occurred on a Thursday. Typically, the short sellers would want to close their positions before the weekend in order to avoid any uncertainties. So in the coming days, Wilmar share price should recover some lost grounds. Will the short sellers return next week? Honestly speaking, I don’t know. However, as the third quarter business update is just around the corner, I expect short selling volumes to decrease because the results should be good.

One thing that I learned in investing is that retail investors will never win the big boys because of the inequity in financial resources. Another thing is that we cannot predict the future price movements of the stocks that we invested in. So what this means is that in the short-term, Wilmar share price …

Sign up for only $19.99! Is it light at end of tunnel for Sunningdale Tech? FY2019 had been an absolute nightmare for the Group as the precision plastic component supplier recorded its lowest profit in the past 5 years. However, based on the recent financial performance, it appears to me that the management has achieved an impressive turnaround. Will Sunningdale Tech share price storm to $2.50?

Talks of Sunningdale Tech reclaiming its former glory are not without basis as several catalysts swing in favour of Sunningdale Tech share price. Based on the recent 1HFY2020 result, net asset value (NAV) stood at $2.00. This means that Sunningdale Tech share price is being traded below its book value.

Secondly, Quarz Capital had increased its stake to become a substantial shareholder. This is definitely an intriguing development for Sunningdale Tech as Quarz Capital is known for being a activist fund which unlocked value for shareholders. In 2018, Quarz Capital had called on the management to return more cash to shareholders.

Then, on 9 September, another intriguing development unfolded for Sunningdale Tech as the Group announced that “Company had been approached in relation to a possible transaction involving the shares of the Company”. Could it be a takeover for Sunningdale Tech?

Given that the Group recorded $8.3 million for 1HFY2020, the EPS is 0.043. Assuming that the management could maintain the financial performance, the full-year EPS could be 0.086 (from FY2015 to FY2018, the Group has achieved at least $30 million of net profit consistently). Thus, applying multiple of 30, the target Sunningdale Tech share price should be about $2.60.

Note that this is an opinion article and not meant to be a financial advice. Please do your due diligence or engage financial advisors before investing in the stock market. I may …

Sign up for only $19.99! Will Wilmar share price recapture its former glory and hit $7? The last time that Wilmar share price was trading at such bandwidth was more than a decade ago. That was the land before time.

Mid October of 2020 seems to be an auspicious period for mega deals. You have the Ant Group IPO and the merger of Capitamall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust. And then there is Wilmar’s mega listing of  Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd (YKA) on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange ChiNext Board. Question now is: will Wilmar share price hit $7 in the coming days?

Wilmar share price to hit the roof in 2020?

Wilmar share price in lung bursting form

In January 2020, I wrote that Wilmar share price had bottomed out and was poised for a major surge because of the catalyst of the China unit IPO. However, COVID-19 pandemic came along and walloped Wilmar share price to rock bottom price of $2.90.

Since March 2020, Wilmar share price steadily climbed to almost hit $5.00 in August when another toxic development knocked the wind out of Wilmar share price. On 20 August, major shareholder, Archer Daniels Midland, had sold 170.5 million Wilmar at $4.40. In addition to that, ADM had entered into a stock-borrow arrangement in respect of its Wilmar shares in connection with its offering of US$300,000,000 zero coupon exchangeable bonds.

The shares sale by ADM had shaken some confidence in Wilmar share price but not for long as the Yihai’s China IPO proved too much to resist. Apparently, Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund, GIC, had decided to join in the fun as well. With allotment amount of RMB472 million, GIC is the second largest strategic investor of YKA.

The IPO will raise USD2.06 billion, representing a windfall for …

Sign up for only $19.99! Is it a match made in heaven or the start of a nightmare? On 29 September, unitholders of CapitaLand Mall Trust (CMT) and CapitaLand Commercial Trust (CCT) voted in favour of the merger between the two REITs. However, CMT share price fell from $2.00 on 30 September to $1.90 on 2 October. What on earth happened to CMT share price?

Capitamall Trust (CMT) share price in berserk form!

CapitaLand Mall Trust unit price in explosive form

Apparently, some investors were puzzled by the bearish form of CMT share price and wrote in to seek my insights. Hands on heart, I view the merger positively because it will lead to the largest REIT in Singapore and provides higher trading liquidity. The issue now is whether the acquisition takes place at the right time.

With CMT struggling to deal with the fallout from COVID-19 pandemic, it seems that CMT could be biting more than it could chew. In fact, on 1 October, Moody’s downgraded the credit ratings for CMT from A2 to A3. The downgrade soured the outlook for CMT share price.

To support the acquisition, each CCT unit would be acquired at 0.720 new CMT Units and $0.2590 in cash. The issuance of new shares would definitely weigh on CMT share price. To put things into perspective, about 2.8 billion new CMT shares would be issued. This represented an increase of 76% number of CMT shares. Post-acquisition, the theoretical CMT share price could be $2.00 /1.76 = $1.14.

As one of the readers pointed out, for CMT share price to reach $1.10 would mean that the market is assigning zero value to CCT assets. This will be an unrealistic assumption. A more reasonable medium term forecast for CMT share price should be somewhere $1.60 to $1.70.…