Month: September 2020

Sign up for only $19.99! Hailed as the biggest IPO in financial history, the upcoming Ant IPO has generated plenty of hype among the investment community. What makes Ant IPO so unique is the dual listing in Shanghai’s Star Market (China’s answer to US Nasdaq) and Hong Kong Exchange. The listing also takes place against the backdrop of a bitter trade war between US and China.

Many analysts had valued Ant IPO between USD250 billion to USD300 billion. At such valuations, Ant IPO would easily surpass Aramco’s USD29 billion IPO in December 2019. Given the investment moats and financial performances of Ant Group, such valuations are not surprising to me.

The flagship product of Ant is Alipay, a super online payment app. The scale of Alipay is simply mind-boggling – 711 million monthly  active users, 80 million monthly active merchants and more than 2000 partner financial institutions. Essentially, Ant is a fintech but unlike many technology companies like Uber or Grab, Ant is very profitable. This is one of most appealing aspects of the Ant IPO.

Ant’s digital finance business in China is also unparalleled, occupying the top market positions in China for its CreditTech, InvestmentTech and InsureTech. Based on these factors, I am of the view that Ant IPO will be a success. But whether the valuation will hit the range of USD250 billion to USD300 billion is a big question mark. Such valuation is simply outrageous to me but then again, stock market is always out of whack and totally unpredictable.

Ant IPO the biggest financial IPO in history?

Singapore’s sovereign wealth fund, Temasek Holdings, is an early backer of Ant. Through its wholly-owned companies, Evans Investments and Glittertind Investments Pte. Ltd, Temasek Holdings owns about 89 million shares in Ant Group. Should investors join in the fun …

Sign up for only $19.99! What a disaster for Keppel share price! On 24 September, Keppel share price plunged to $4.10, the lowest in the past decade. The devastating spell of value destruction must have left a bitter taste in investors’ mouth. After all, Keppel share price had enjoyed a splendid run, surging from $5.80 to $7.00 when Temasek Holdings announced $4.1 billion conditional offer to control Keppel Corp in October 2019.

Indeed, the crisis of confidence in Keppel share price is largely attributed to the bombshell announcement on 1 August 2020 by Temasek Holdings not to proceed with the partial offer for Keppel. The investment company had invoked the pre-condition of material adverse change in the Group’s financial performance and walked away from the deal.

Keppel share price in winter wonderland with Temasek Holdings

Can Keppel share price meet the great expectations of Temasek Holdings?

The dramatic turn of event had led to the collapse of Keppel share price, which fell from $5.40 to the present abysmal level. Whether the current Keppel share price represents a golden buying opportunity is subject to debate. But based on the market sentiments, this counter should be bearish for at least the next couple of months. Then again, fortune favours the brave. To be successful in investing, you must buy when the stock is down and out.

To put things into perspective, the fiasco of Temasek Holdings’ withdrawal is just a mere distraction for the Group. The bigger issue on hand for Keppel is the souring business fundamentals. Another factor for the crisis of confidence is the weak oil prices, which cause oil majors to cut back on capital expenditure and reducing orders for oil rigs.

Looking back, the revival of Keppel share price in 2009 was due to the explosive surge of …

Sign up for only $19.99! It could be the blockbuster IPO of the year. While Singtel is singing the blues with its India’s misadventure, Sembcorp Industries share price has been in golden form lately with its potential listing of its India asset – Sembcorp Energy India Ltd (SEIL).

Every dog has its day and confidence means everything in the stock market. Currently, Sembcorp Industries share price appears to be enjoying a splendid run since the fateful demerger from Sembcorp Marine.  Can the leading energy and urban development group achieve a critical business turnaround?

Sembcorp Industries to smash $3.00 with India IPO?

Sembcorp Industries share price to hit $5.00 after demerger?

Within the SGX Mainboard, business turnarounds are far and a few. One of the rare exceptional cases is AEM Holdings, which I had previously invested in (and subsequently sold off). Sembcorp Industries share price could have the opportunity to join this exclusive club following the culmination of a series of bold business moves. In fact, I am convinced that Sembcorp Industries share price will hit $3.00 in the coming months.

With Temasek Holdings holding 50% stake, it is only a matter of when, and not if, that Sembcorp Industries share price recovers to the $3.00 mark. Of course, my conviction is not due to blind faith, but based on the various contract wins and series of divestments. And then there is the exciting dream of the India listing of its asset – SEIL.

Indeed, the above catalysts may unlock the true value of Sembcorp Industries share price but the road ahead is full of uncertainties. After all, the global economy is still grappling from the fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices are still in depressive states and we are still in the midst of a bitter trade war between …

Sign up for only $19.99! On 16 September 2020, I invested in Sembcorp Industries (SCI). My entry price for Sembcorp Industries share price was $1.35. The decision to enter this counter was after my research done for my previous article “Sembcorp Industries share price to hit $5 after demerger?”

In my previous article, I shared that the catalyst for Sembcorp Industries share price is not the demerger of the loss-making Sembcorp Marine. To truly unlock the full value of Sembcorp Industries share price, the management must continue its effort in recycle capital through its energy and urban assets. And one of the major catalysts for Sembcorp Industries share price is the listing of the India business unit, Sembcorp Energy India Ltd (SEIL).

According to a report written by Phillip Capital written on 9 September 2020, the estimated value of the listing is worth a staggering $1.8 billion. However, given the current climate, the IPO value should be at most $1.5 billion. With such tremendous catalyst, Sembcorp Industries share price could potentially hit $3.00. After all, Sembcorp Industries share price is traded at $2.13 as of 16 September 2020 post-SCM demerger ($1.34 + (4.911 x $0.16)).

According to the SEIL recent annual report, the total assets amounted to INR 268 billion while total liabilities amounted to INR 168 billion. Thus, the book value for SEIL is INR 100 billion, which translated to Singapore dollars, amounted to $1.8 billion. Based on the current climate, if Sembcorp does list SEIL, I applied discounted valuation of 45% and derived the book value of $1 billion.

Will Sembcorp Industries share price soar with the listing of SEIL? Certainly, the listing of SEIL is not without basis. In 2018, Sembcorp Industries tried to list the business unit but had to postpone it because SCI …

Sign up for only $19.99! Being a diversified real estate giant, CapitaLand needs no introduction. Question now is: does CapitaLand share price offer value? CapitaLand share price is now being traded at $2.75, representing Price/Book Value of just 0.557. This means that the book value should be about $5.00 per share. At current price level, this counter is indeed being traded at a massive discount, no thanks to the COVID-19 pandemic.

CapitaLand share price flying with Liang Court redevelopment

CapitaLand share price set for explosive bull run?

CapitaLand share price and the Golden Job

Despite the damaging impact of COVID-19 pandemic, CapitaLand share price has been quite rock solid. If investors look back, this counter has not bombed out to the $1.85 level last seen during the Global Financial Crisis. In fact, the last time CapitaLand share was trading at current level was in 2015. Even during the March 2020 market rout, this counter only tanked to $2.60.

The resilient of CapitaLand share price is attributed to the strong institutional ownership – Temasek Holdings own 52% stake, while Blackrock holds 4.8%. Beyond the solid support from the big boys, I also noticed that ROE has steadily increased from 6.7% in FY2016 to 10.1% in FY2019. The data suggested improving performance of management in growing the company. Of course, FY2020 will see ROE being razed to the ground due to COVID-19 but this will be one-off.

Obviously, it has not been a bed of roses for CapitaLand share price, which has been soft for the past three months since the announcement of scrip dividends for FY2019. A total of 140,343,222 new shares has been issued at $2.767. Due to this, CapitaLand share price dropped from $3.20 on 3 June to the current $2.75.

COVID-19 has caused its CapitaLand Mall Trust and …

Sign up for only $19.99! On 4 September, I sold off all my AEM shares when AEM share price was trading at $3.85. After factoring the dividends (May and August 2020) and the brokerage fees, the total returns amounted to $5,500. This returns represented 16% yield over a period of 5 months. The decision to exit this counter was partially due to the recent corrections in Dow Jones and Nasdaq.

AEM share price ready for Nasdaq listing?

AEM share price worth $10?

AEM share price rocked by Intel

AEM share price to rocket to $5.00?

Will I regret selling AEM shares? After all, I had been so bullish with this counter for the past few months. To be honest, I don’t know the answer. All I know is that with a 5-year beta of 2.13, AEM share price is much more volatile than Singapore bank stocks. So even though the fundamentals of AEM remain strong, its stock price will be extremely volatile in the near term.

Given the volatility of AEM share price, I guess I will have plenty of sleepless nights if I continue to hold on to the shares. I would rather cash in now and live to fight another day. A dollar gained is a dollar gained. But the last straw for me was [This is a premium article. The rest of the content is blocked and can be accessible by SG Wealth Builder Members only. To read the full content, please sign up as member.]

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Sign up for only $19.99! On 3 September 2020, US market crashed with Dow Jones tumbling more than 800 points while Nasdaq collapsed nearly 5%. Is this the end of the US stock market rally? Over in Singapore, Singtel share price is also not spared from the bloodbath as the counter crashed to a 12-year low.

Given the turn of events, the narrative for Singtel share price has turned sombre. Should investors run for their lives or keep faith with CEO Chua Sock Koong?

Singtel share price braces for bloodbath

Singtel share price to collapse to $1.50?

Singtel share price in devastating bloodbath

Singtel share price to swim or sink with coronavirus?

At current trading price of $2.25, Singtel share price is [This is a premium article. The rest of the content is blocked and can be accessible by SG Wealth Builder Members only. To read the full content, please sign up as member.]

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Sign up for only $19.99! Amid the on-going bull run of technology stocks, the ailing Intel share price stood out like a sore thumb. With a P/E ratio of just 9.3, Intel share price is currently being traded at levels way below its competitors, (e.g. AMD and Qualcomm). AMD share price is being traded at P/E ratio of 163 while Qualcomm share price is traded at 50. As one of the leading lights of Nasdaq, has Intel share price lost its shine?

AEM  ready for Nasdaq listing?

AEM share price worth $10?

AEM share price rocked by Intel

AEM share price to rocket to $5.00?

Year-to-date, Intel share price has fallen by 16%. This is in deep contrast to the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX), which soared 20% year-to-date. Furthermore, Nasdaq index has soared to record highs for the past few weeks. So the fall of Intel share price must have given investors plenty of sleepless nights.

The plunge of Intel share price was largely attributed to the delayed release of its next-generation 7nm chips. Prior to this event, Intel share price got hit when Apple announced that it would ditch Intel chips for its Mac computers. Following these bombshell announcements, Intel share price got walloped to abysmal levels.

Is this the beginning of the end for Intel share price? In my point of view, probably not. According to Passmark Software, Intel is still the market leader in the CPU industry, with 62.7% of market share as of Q3 2020. This is still considerably much higher than AMD’s 37.3% market share. Given the gap, there is still window of opportunity for Intel share price to widen the gap and recover from the recent fallout.

In my humble opinion, the fiasco of Intel’s 7nm chip production delay has been blown out …